~ WHY THE COUNTY MISSED THE PARADIGM SHIFT IN HISTORY ~
A fundamental change in approach or underlying assumptions.
Around 2010, the County decided McClellan-Palomar Airport's (CRQ) runway needed to be extended.
2012 - Elon Musk presented his theory of what a Hyperloop system could be.
2013 - the County completed its McClellan-Palomar Airport Runway Extension Feasibility Study.
2013 - Elon Musk released a Hyperloop Alpha white paper on the Hyperloop feasibility with grounds speeds of 760 mph. If that speed could become a reality, it meant a paradigm shift for not only ground transportation, but also air transportation.
2013 - Elon Musk's Hyperloop Alpha white paper attracted attention and soon three companies started to develop Hyperloop systems.
BUT evidently, from 2013 to today, nobody at the County paid attention to Elon Musk's Hyperloop Alpha white paper nor the companies who now are proving the Hyperloop is a viable alternative to the highly polluting "Regional Air Transportation" solutions of today.
2015 - the San Diego County Board of Supervisors voted to continue spend additional monies in developing the future expansion of CRQ into a full Airport Master Plan.
November 2017 - since the County's new Airport Master Plan includes extending the runway, the City of Carlsbad and the County met to determine if the County planed to apply for an amendment to Carlsbad's Conditional Use Permit (CUP) 172 as is dictated by Carlsbad's Ordinance 21.53.015. The County's answer was NO.
2017 - General Motors announced it will start fully autonomous self-driving vehicle service in San Francisco. CA late 2019 and New York, NY in 2020.
May 2018 - the County released the new McClellan-Palomar Airport Master Plan for Public Comment. That Plan is still VOID of any consideration of the impact the "Paradigm Shift" the Hyperloop and/or the Self-Driving Transportation options will have on Regional Air traffic and Regional Airports. In addition, this Plan is VOID of any consideration of the advancement made in Regional (76 to 133 passenger) Jet Aircraft. These new aircraft (now on order by DELTA and SkyWest) will not require a longer runway than CRQ's present 4,897ft. runway.
That said, maybe the following saying is definitely right on the mark:
"Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it whether it exists or not, diagnosing it incorrectly, and applying
the wrong remedy."
~ Ernest Benn ~
For the last eight (8) years nobody at San Diego County seems to have realized how the Hyperloop and Self-Driving Transportation Paradigm Shift will fundamentally change the need to expand CRQ OR how today's advancements in Regional Aircraft capabilities have made McClellan-Palomar Airport Master Plan Obsolete!
Fact - with the projected speeds of the Hyperloop, people can live in less expensive states and work in San Diego or Los Angeles.
How can that be possible? The travel time will be less than today's rush hour drive time from Carlsbad to San Diego or Los Angeles. Or think how that will change day/weekend vacation trips. Live in Las Vegas and be in Carlsbad in 32 minuets for a day on the beach - no more 40% occupancy levels at Carlsbad hotels.